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The Common Room / Re: New My Heritage possible relationships feature issue
« on: Thursday 02 March 23 14:44 GMT (UK) »
The feature is based on the amounts of shared DNA and the probabilities of relationships for the length of the match. For any given relationship there is a range of possible match lengths, and the probabilities of matches at that relationship level for varying match lengths can be viewed in tools such as DNA Painter - https://dnapainter.com/blog/introducing-the-updated-shared-cm-tool/
DNA inheritance is to an extent random, which is one reason why it is possible for a particular relationship to exist over a range of match lengths, and for almost any given match length, there will be an overlap of different possible relationships and probabilities.
All that My Heritage and other providers are doing when they suggest a relationship between two matches is to indicate the likeliest probability for the match length that exists. But the most likely probability isn't necessarily the actual relationship between the matches. Matches at the same length could be related in different ways at varying levels of probability, and there will always be two people who are related at the lowest level of probabilty, or that probability would not exist for the match length given.
Whilst the son will have inherited 50% of each of his parents' DNA, it doesn't follow that the 50% of the DNA that he has inherited from his father is, or includes, the entirety of the segments that are included in the match between his father and you. So if he has inherited only some of the segments that you and his father share, your match length with the son will be correspondingly lower, and the highest probability calculated for a match at that length suggests a different relationship to that expected.
But that doesn't mean that either of the two suggested relationships are correct. Either, or both could be completely wrong. You can use the suppositions to guide your research, and a tool such as DNA Painter can give additional guidance as to the expected range of relationships for each match. The definitive relationships between you are only going to be confirmed though by verified documentary evidence - the "traditional " research which links families, ancestors and decendants by BMD, census, parish and all the other historical records available.
I believe that the My Heritage possible relationships are presented in the form of a table, which suggests a number of relationships, in descending order of probability. Effectively, they are presenting similar information to the DNA Painter tool, and the fact that the highest shown relationship might, for example, state 3rd cousin with a probability of 55.8%, doesn't mean that the lowest indicated relationship of 2nd cousin's son at a probability of 2.3% isn't the correct relationship between you, or indeed any of the intervening relationships in the list. 55.8% of people sharing the same amount of DNA can expect to be related at the highest level, but 2.3% might be related at the lowest level, with varying probabilities inbetween.
DNA inheritance is to an extent random, which is one reason why it is possible for a particular relationship to exist over a range of match lengths, and for almost any given match length, there will be an overlap of different possible relationships and probabilities.
All that My Heritage and other providers are doing when they suggest a relationship between two matches is to indicate the likeliest probability for the match length that exists. But the most likely probability isn't necessarily the actual relationship between the matches. Matches at the same length could be related in different ways at varying levels of probability, and there will always be two people who are related at the lowest level of probabilty, or that probability would not exist for the match length given.
Whilst the son will have inherited 50% of each of his parents' DNA, it doesn't follow that the 50% of the DNA that he has inherited from his father is, or includes, the entirety of the segments that are included in the match between his father and you. So if he has inherited only some of the segments that you and his father share, your match length with the son will be correspondingly lower, and the highest probability calculated for a match at that length suggests a different relationship to that expected.
But that doesn't mean that either of the two suggested relationships are correct. Either, or both could be completely wrong. You can use the suppositions to guide your research, and a tool such as DNA Painter can give additional guidance as to the expected range of relationships for each match. The definitive relationships between you are only going to be confirmed though by verified documentary evidence - the "traditional " research which links families, ancestors and decendants by BMD, census, parish and all the other historical records available.
I believe that the My Heritage possible relationships are presented in the form of a table, which suggests a number of relationships, in descending order of probability. Effectively, they are presenting similar information to the DNA Painter tool, and the fact that the highest shown relationship might, for example, state 3rd cousin with a probability of 55.8%, doesn't mean that the lowest indicated relationship of 2nd cousin's son at a probability of 2.3% isn't the correct relationship between you, or indeed any of the intervening relationships in the list. 55.8% of people sharing the same amount of DNA can expect to be related at the highest level, but 2.3% might be related at the lowest level, with varying probabilities inbetween.