Giving the gift of Covid-19 this Christmas

[tazzie]

It took 4 days to find me and in those 4 days had doorstep dropped gifts to my parents and in laws.
 Not sure if contact was school where I work or hairdressers that I ventured to for the first time since Feb half term!
 The school asked us to test and mine was negative. Due back to work next week......starting to feel on edge.

 Tazzie

[Jool]

I think it depends on how quickly the person who tests positive enters their results into the app.  It could be a few days before they realise/remember that they have to enter them to alert close contacts.

https://faq.covid19.nhs.uk/article/KA-01128/en-us?parentid=CAT-01033&rootid=

[guest189040]

Well it is five days since Christmas Day and the relaxation of the rules for family gatherings.

Sadly I expect to see a sharp rise in the daily infection cases over the next few days as those exposed on Christmas Day begin to suffer.

Why five days?  Our Daughter who is a Nurse and a colleague both contracted Covid on the same day when they were assisting in specialist treatment of a patient with Covid.  Both started to suffer symptoms five days later, both are fine now and back at work.

Hence five days or so after exposure the symptoms began to show.

I do hope I am wrong in my presumptions.

[pharmaT]

Well it is five days since Christmas Day and the relaxation of the rules for family gatherings.

Sadly I expect to see a sharp rise in the daily infection cases over the next few days as those exposed on Christmas Day begin to suffer.

Why five days?  Our Daughter who is a Nurse and a colleague both contracted Covid on the same day when they were assisting in specialist treatment of a patient with Covid.  Both started to suffer symptoms five days later, both are fine now and back at work.

Hence five days or so after exposure the symptoms began to show.

I do hope I am wrong in my presumptions.

I agree, symptoms seem to appear from day 5 to 14 after exposure. So those infected on Christmas day will begin to fall ill today but won't know full extent for another 9 days.  Then there's the secondary infections, those who were infected by those infected at Christmas .

[trystan]

Yes, a huge spike now that we've given it a week since Christmas:

https://www.google.com/search?q=covid-19+new+cases+uk

It looks indeed like the gift of Covid-19 was generously(?) given this Christmas.

[BushInn1746]

Over 57,000 testing positive, 2nd Jan 2021

Yvonne Doyle, Medical Director for PHE (Public Health England)
https://mobile.twitter.com/PHE_uk/status/1345397763387891718?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
 ------------
10 short of 55,000 3rd Jan 2021
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
 ------------
West Midlands Police last Thursday night regarding suspected Covid Rule breaking.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-55506942

Keep Safe, Mark

[Glen in Tinsel Kni]

Lots of posts on my social media in the days before xmas with folk awaiting results. The hope was a negative test would mean their kids/grandkids could then travel for a family gathering. No real surprise that many of the kids/grandkids had plumped for a test but travelled before the results were through and returned home to a positive test result.

If the same principle was applied to drink driving then it would mean taking a breath test after locking the car in the garage after driving home from the pub. People can see THAT is a stupid way to test but not the post family gathering result.

[cuffie81]

The number of cases has increased, following the general upward trend, but I'm not sure it could be described as a spike.

Graph attached from the official stats:
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases

[Glen in Tinsel Kni]

I think it depends on how quickly the person who tests positive enters their results into the app.  It could be a few days before they realise/remember that they have to enter them to alert close contacts.

https://faq.covid19.nhs.uk/article/KA-01128/en-us?parentid=CAT-01033&rootid=

The app is made out to be the answer to everything but the uptake of it and the fact it doesn't work on older phones is a concern. The elderly, vulnerable and those on low incomes are the least likely to be able to access it.

There are way too many "ifs" in the chain for it to work. The contact tracing has the same issues and as a result the percentage of close contacts being traced isn't great.